Dr. Yan Talks: CCP’s Fantasy of Pulling India Against America Is a Daydream; Brazil’s Lula Runs Headlong Pro-CCP and Anti-U.S.—Where Does He Get the Nerve? 8/6/2025

The United States has raised tariffs on India. 
An additional 25% tariff has been imposed on India for purchasing Russian oil, raising the potential tariff burden to 50%. India miscalculated during earlier negotiations, expecting tariff reductions but instead receiving harsher penalties. Overconfidence in sensitive areas such as agriculture and dairy amplified this misjudgment. 

China falsely believes it can exploit U.S.-India tensions. 
China celebrates the tariff conflict and spreads the narrative that the U.S.-India alliance is collapsing. Beijing hopes to use the Tianjin summit between Xi Jinping and Modi to pull India closer and create an anti-American front. This expectation is unrealistic and reflects a dreamlike overconfidence. 

India is seeking to repair its relationship with the United States. 
India has begun signaling reconciliation to Washington. Officials admit misjudgments and are preparing concessions to restore cooperation. An upcoming visit from a U.S. delegation provides an opportunity for Modi and Trump to communicate directly and stabilize ties. 

India continues to strengthen regional partnerships. 
India is deepening cooperation with the Philippines and other Asian partners. These actions demonstrate a diversified strategy that keeps the United States at the center while broadening regional relationships. 

China’s alliances remain shallow and fragile. 
Brazil, South Korea, and Slovakia are presented as China’s partners, but these alignments are opportunistic and unreliable. They cannot compare with the strong and stable alliances maintained by the United States. 

Instability in the Middle East continues to grow. 
After the conflict in Fordo and amid uncertainty about Khamenei’s health, the region faces greater volatility. China attempts to appear engaged, yet its connections remain fragile and lack credibility. 

India will not align with China despite current frictions. 
Tariff disputes test the relationship with the United States, but the foundation of U.S.-India cooperation remains strong. China remains trapped in unrealistic ambitions of building a counter-American bloc without dependable allies.